For July, the number of homes for sale rose by 12.2% to 15,600 active listings, offering more purchase options for buyers. However, buyers should be aware that shopping in a market with only 2.8 months of supply indicates that most areas, segments, and price points still favor sellers. Four to six months’ supply is typically considered balanced, while fewer months reflect a sellers’ market; more than six months usually indicates a buyer’s market. For comparison, in early 2022, there was one month of supply statewide.
The median sales price increased 4.1% in July and is up 3.3% this year. Sellers accepted offers around 98.8% of list price (down 1.3%) after 35 days on market (up 20.7%). Market times are still below 2018–2020 levels, while the percentage of list price received is on par with that same period. “The housing market started off strong this year but cooled down unexpectedly. Now, we’re hopeful that lower interest rates will make homes more affordable and boost demand in the second half of 2024,” said Geri Theis, President of Minnesota Realtors®. “Remember that housing is unique and influenced by several economic factors. If interest rates level off, we could see an increase in home buying activity in the coming months.”
Eager home buyers were excited about the prospect of lower mortgage rates this year. But that didn’t materialize in July. Pointing to affordability concerns, some buyers are pausing their purchases until rates come down. However, those who purchase and refinance later may find less competition and won’t encounter multiple offer situations on every listing. Rates dropped at the beginning of August, which could entice more buyers to the market, creating stiff competition for desirable properties.
Regional Dynamics
Market activity always varies across areas, price points, and property types—sometimes dramatically. Hibbing/Virginia, Mankato, and Rochester saw the largest gains in new listings. Pending sales were down for all regions except Rochester and St. Cloud. Home prices rose the most in the Hibbing/Virginia region, followed by Grand Rapids and Mankato. Fergus Falls and Bemidji were the only regions where prices softened from last year. The most balanced markets were Detroit Lakes and Bemidji, while the most undersupplied markets were Rochester, St. Cloud, and the Twin Cities metro.
Twin Cities Metro Overview
Regarding buyer and seller activity changes, the state and the metro follow a similar trend. Seller activity was up 7.2% in the metro and 5.4% statewide. Buyer activity was down 5.4% statewide and 4.2% in the metro. At $385,000 versus about $354,000, home prices are higher in the metro, but homes are selling more quickly in greater Minnesota. Twin Cities home sellers accepted 99.7% of their list price in 36 days compared to 98.8% in 35 days statewide. The metro had 2.5 months of supply while there were 2.8 months of inventory statewide. Minnesotans looking to buy their first home still face availability and affordability challenges. These headwinds are impacting virtually every county, city, and neighborhood across the state. The promise of a Fed rate cut in September is driving mortgage rates lower at a time when inventory is on the rise. That could spell better times ahead for buyers.
Regional year-over-year closed sales for July 2024:
State and metro key market indicators year over year for July 2024:
All information is according to Minnesota Realtors® based on data from NorthstarMLS and other MN MLSs. Data is deemed reliable, but not guaranteed.
To read our full July 2024 Housing Report, click here.
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